I gave this talk at a Zoom meeting of British journalists on May Seems a pity to let it go to waste. Before talking about Germany after Merkel, we need to talk about her legacy. Now I have been consistently critical of Merkel, but I have to admit that over the course of the past 16 years Germany has become a more pleasant place to live in. When she was elected inGermany was in some ways more like Hungary today than like Britain then. Under Merkel, Germany has become more like a normal Western European country by embracing multiculturalism, immigration, women in the workforce and men in the kitchen and even gay marriage. Merkel herself has no children, her health minister is a gay married man. And like those predecessors, Merkel has done this without calling too much attention to the fact. This has led to the rise of the right-wing populist AfD. One can ask whether this was inevitable, given that Merkel, unlike Adenauer and Kohl, was forced into a coalition Corbyn Gay Sex Ff the SPD for all but four years of her Chancellorship. But she was more than a reluctant accomodator of social democratic ideas. In fact, though she had campaigned in and lost as a radical free marketeer and friend of George W. One result has been a dangerous de-politicization of the main parties. Though one may decry the radicalization of the two main parties in the USA or — at least as long as Jeremy Corbyn was Labour leader — in the UK, the opposite is even worse and has led to widespread cynicism, conspiracy theories and radical talk, especially on the extreme right. This has angered not only the USA but also Poland, the Baltic states and Ukraine, not to mention the European Commission. But there are other examples. Indeed, talking of China: Merkel has visited China 12 times and was a main driver of the Investment agreement between the EU and China. As it is, the european Parliament stopped the ratification process, a signal victory for the European idea, and a slap in the face for Merkel. Her attempt to impose refugee quotas on all EU countries via majority vote in the European Council not only alienated the so-called Visegrad group but has proved unenforceable and has thus underlined the powerlessness of the Council. She has subverted stricter European emission targets on automobiles to protect German industry and torpedoed the proposed merger of Airbus and British Aerospace for the same reason. Her initial reaction to the Covid crisis was to prohibit the export of desperately needed ICU equipment to Italy. The list goes on. This is true. And dangerous. Since Bismarck united two thirds of Germany leaving out Austria and its Balkan Empirethe German conundrum has been this: Germany is too weak to dominate the continent alone, but so strong that it cannot help intimidating its neighbours. But nobody seems to know what to do about it. This is primarily due to coalition mathematics. But at the same time, climate and immigration policies are the two most contentious issues. Whereas men and East Germans tend to consider immigration the most important issue and want a more restrictive policy, women and West Germans tend to consider climate policy the number one issue and to favour stricter policies on emissions and so on. The SPD, while fielding Olaf Scholz as a candidate for the Chancellorship, are really eager to get out of government. It would seem suicidal not to attempt some sort of regeneration from the opposition benches. Go figure. Laschet is indeed well qualified for government. He has been Prime Minister of Corbyn Gay Sex Ff sincea Federal State of almost 18 million people, and still an industrial powerhouse. At first blush, he is a Merkel clone. However, as a Rhenish Catholic Corbyn Gay Sex Ff Adenauer and Kohl he has more affinity to Europe than the East German Protestant Angela Merkel and may be more receptive to French blandishments, if Macron can win a second term in office. This may not be a good thing, however.
The London gazette : the appointed organ for all announcements of the Executive. 1856
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